Understanding DEFCON.si
What is DEFCON?
DEFCON (Defense Readiness Condition) is the U.S. military's five-level alert system used to communicate the readiness posture of its forces.1
Normal
Peacetime baseline.
Increased Intelligence
Strengthened security measures.
Round House
Increased force readiness above normal.
Fast Pace
Armed forces ready to deploy quickly.
Cocked Pistol
Maximum readiness — nuclear war imminent.
DEFCON.si displays an estimated level inferred from open-source signals — not an official government reading.
What is OSINT?
Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) is intelligence produced from publicly available sources.2
DEFCON.si relies exclusively on OSINT — news reports, government statements, satellite imagery, flight tracking, and social media from official accounts — to generate independent estimates.
What is SI Readiness?
Our proprietary 0–5 scale that tracks the acceleration toward AGI and Super Intelligence alongside correlated global risks.
SI Readiness is independent of the DEFCON estimate. A high SI score does not predict a military readiness change.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is this the official DEFCON level?
No. Official DEFCON levels are classified. This site provides independent estimates based on open-source intelligence.
How often is the site updated?
Manually and via automated agents when significant signals appear.
Can different commands be at different DEFCON levels?
Yes. DEFCON can vary by geographic command. Public discourse often references a single number, but the real posture is distributed and classified.
What sources feed the estimate?
News wires, official government releases, diplomatic statements, open flight and maritime tracking, public research on AI capabilities, and other verifiable open data.
How is SI Readiness different from DEFCON?
DEFCON tracks estimated military readiness. SI Readiness tracks the AI / Super Intelligence risk composite — capability jumps, autonomous systems, and loss-of-control signals.
How accurate are OSINT-based estimates?
OSINT is noisy. Signals can be misread, exaggerated, or deliberately misleading. Treat all readings as estimates, not facts.
Is DEFCON.si affiliated with the U.S. government?
No. DEFCON.si is not affiliated with the Department of Defense, NORAD, or any government agency.
Should I use this for emergency decisions?
No. This is not an alert system. Do not use DEFCON.si for emergency, safety, financial, or travel decisions.